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RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 17

Bundesliga - Gameweek 17

Wednesday, 14 Jan 2026 • 20:30

RB Leipzig

2 : 0

SC Freiburg

Goals

Willi Orban
1 : 0
53'
53'Willi Orban
1 : 0
Rômulo Cardoso...
2 : 0
56'
56'Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
2 : 0

Game Review

RB Leipzig secured a 2-0 victory over SC Freiburg in their Bundesliga clash on January 14, 2026. The match, held at Leipzig's home ground, saw the hosts dominate the second half to claim all three points. This result was largely expected given Leipzig's strong form and higher league standing compared to Freiburg. The game remained goalless in the first half, with both teams struggling to create clear-cut chances. However, Leipzig broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute when Willi Orban (GAP +4.2%) found the back of the net, capitalizing on a well-delivered set-piece. Just three minutes later, Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz doubled Leipzig's lead, effectively putting the game beyond Freiburg's reach. Tactically, Leipzig's manager made effective use of his squad depth, introducing Ezechiel Banzuzi, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Conrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, and Yan Diomande as substitutes to maintain the team's intensity. Freiburg's head coach also made several changes, bringing on Jordy Makengo Basambundu, Igor Matanovic, Vincenzo Grifo, Derry Scherhant, and Jan-Niklas Beste in an attempt to turn the tide, but Leipzig's defense, marshaled by Peter Gulacsi (GAP +2.3%) and Castello Lukeba (GAP +5.5%), held firm. David Raum (GAP +6.1%) was particularly impressive for Leipzig, contributing significantly to both defense and attack, while Assan Ouédraogo (GAP +3.7%) provided a dynamic presence in midfield. Freiburg's efforts were hampered by a lack of cutting edge in the final third, with Lucas Höler (GAP -1.1%) unable to make a significant impact. This victory consolidates Leipzig's position in the upper echelons of the Bundesliga table, enhancing their momentum as they continue to challenge for European qualification. Freiburg, on the other hand, will need to regroup and address their attacking inefficiencies to climb the standings in the coming weeks.

Lineups

RB Leipzig

PosPlayer
GK
Peter Gulacsi
DEF
Willi Orban
DEF
David Raum
DEF
Castello Lukeba
MID
Christoph Baumgartner
MID
Ridle Baku
MID
Xaver Schlager
MID
Nicolas Seiwald
MID
Assan Ouédraogo
FWD
Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
FWD
Tidiam Gomis

Substitutes

60'Antonio Nusafor Assan Ouédraogo
60'Yan Diomandefor Tidiam Gomis
74'Conrad Harderfor Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
88'El Chadaille Bitshiabufor Castello Lukeba
88'Ezechiel Banzuzifor Christoph Baumgartner

SC Freiburg

PosPlayer
GK
Noah Atubolu
DEF
Christian Gunter
DEF
Lukas Kübler
DEF
Anthony Jung
DEF
Philipp Treu
DEF
Bruno Ogbus
MID
Maximilian Eggestein
MID
Patrick Osterhage
MID
Johan Manzambi
FWD
Lucas Höler
FWD
Yuito Suzuki

Substitutes

55'Vincenzo Grifofor Yuito Suzuki
65'Igor Matanovicfor Lucas Höler
65'Jan-Niklas Beste
for Philipp Treu
85'Jordy Makengo Basambundufor Christian Gunter
85'Derry Scherhantfor Patrick Osterhage
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
5RB Leipzig1710253324+932
W
L
L
W
L
8SC Freiburg186662931-224
D
W
W
L
D

Last Games

RB Leipzig

vsBayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 3
@Union Berlin
1 - 3
vsEintracht Frankfurt
6 - 0
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 - 0
vsWerder Bremen
2 - 0

SC Freiburg

vsHamburger SV
2 - 1
@VfL Wolfsburg
4 - 3
vsBorussia Dortmund
1 - 1
@FC Heidenheim
1 - 2
vsFSV Mainz 05
4 - 0

Head-to-Head

14 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig2 - 0SC Freiburg
14 Jan 2026RB Leipzig
2 - 0
SC Freiburg
08 Mar 2025
SC Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
08 Mar 2025SC Freiburg
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
26 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig3 - 1SC Freiburg
26 Oct 2024RB Leipzig
3 - 1
SC Freiburg
06 Apr 2024
SC Freiburg1 - 4RB Leipzig
06 Apr 2024SC Freiburg
1 - 4
RB Leipzig
12 Nov 2023
RB Leipzig3 - 1SC Freiburg
12 Nov 2023RB Leipzig
3 - 1
SC Freiburg

Bundesliga

Gameweek 17

13 Jan • 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
13 Jan • 20:30
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
13 Jan • 20:30
FSV Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim
2 - 1
14 Jan • 18:30
VfL Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
2 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
1. FC Köln
FC Bayern München
1 - 3
14 Jan • 20:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2 - 0
15 Jan • 20:30
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1 - 1
04 Mar • 20:30
Hamburger SV
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.